CalibratedDecisions.

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jev-alpha-bench

Does Jev predict stock returns from news?

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From the repository

Does Jev predict stock returns from news? It reads the news well; there is no tradeable alpha. Three arms separate reading from recall.

How builders describe it

Does Jev predict stock returns from news? It reads the news well; there is no tradeable alpha. Three arms separate reading from recall.
Two studies on whether Jev can be turned into a trading signal: Nasdaq-100 headlines and price candles. Publication-day rank IC is +0.24; the window you can actually trade is flat and the long-short loses 18 bps a trade.

The decision Jev makes

Benchmark questions with known answers, to check accuracy and confidence.

Where it fits

Head-to-head tests, calibration studies and independent research into how well Jev decides, how fast, and at what cost. All 682 benchmarks & research projects →

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